Friday Fix: Let’s Try that Again

 

$-335 out of the gate. Not ideal. Good news is, we have plenty of time to get out of this hole that I’ve dug us into. We’ve got some nice opportunities in the next week with Wimbledon in full swing and MLB running the last stretch before the All Star Game. If we can keep the bankroll in decent shape heading into football season, I’ll chalk that up as a win.

I Might Be Biased Pick of the Week

Year to Date: + $64.51

I’m glad that the one winner I gave out last week was a nice little wager on our Stros. After losing game one of the weekend series against the Yankees, the Astros rode solid offense to take games two and three of the series to win the -155 series price last week.

Over 9.5 runs, Astros at Blue Jays – 110 (July 7, 2017)

Houston looked super sloppy last night, and only scored four runs on 11 hits. I’m looking for the offense to bounce back tonight and execute better with runners on base. The Rodgers Centre is obviously a hitter-friendly park, and two pitchers will make their first appearances coming off extended DL stints tonight. Charlie Morton will be making his first appearance since May 24th, and Aaron Sanchez for Toronto will be starting a game for the first time since May 19th. Not overthinking this one—rusty pitchers + hitters ballpark + good offenses = Over.

Safer than the US T Bill

Year to Date: – $100

Look, we got COMPLETELY HOSED on this pick last week. You want to talk about hometown bias? Manny Pacquiao landed TWICE AS MANY punches as Horn including 50 MORE POWER PUNCHES. His accuracy bested Horn 32% to 15%. We could go on and on. That was about as blatantly rigged as it gets—remind me that boxing is rigged the next time I want to wager on a fight, kk thanks.

Aaron Judge to win Home Run Derby +300

This feels a little cliché considering that everybody is on the Aaron Judge bandwagon by now, but I would not feel comfortable taking anybody other than Judge in the derby on Monday. He’s a mortal lock to make it out of the first round, and I really like the odds to win it all at 3-to-1. I don’t need to sell you on his power…

Other Picks I Like

Year to Date: – $300

Friday, July 7

Brewers at Yankees +190

This money line is way too high for the Brewers.  Milwaukee is 7-1 in their last 8 games and their offense is driving the ball out of the park. Jordan Montgomery pitching for the Yankees does not scare me either.

Nationals (vs Braves) and D Backs (vs Reds) Money line parlay +110

Scherzer and Greinke throwing tonight against weaker teams… ’nuff said.

LA Clippers +6 vs LA Lakers -110

Look, don’t judge me for giving NBA Summer league picks… In the middle of the summer it’s hard to not be thirsty for non-MLB action. There is so much variance in summer league games and the Lakers are a public favorite (I’m guessing there isn’t a large “public” betting the NBA Summer League though), so I’m going to take the six points here.

Year to date total: -$335.48

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